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I really didn't want to write any more about Tim Tebow...

Why won't the articles about Timothy Tebow end? He and the Denver Broncos' season is over. The Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints lost this weekend. We have two classic strength-in-offense vs. strength-in-defense match-ups next weekend: Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots and NY Giants vs. San Francisco. I'm definitely pulling for San Francisco in their game (really? Who honestly expected the no-name 49ers with first-year head coach Jim Harbaugh to be one game away from making the Super Bowl?) and am unsure about the other. I'd love to see a defensive slugfest between San Fran and Baltimore, yet would also enjoy seeing Tom Brady and the Patriots offense face the Niners' staunch defense. In any case, why are we still writing/talking about Tim Tebow?

One Bill Williamson wrote the following article on ESPN.com this afternoon - http://espn.go.com/blog/afcwest/post/_/id/38834/sticking-with-tebow-is-the-right-call

John Elway has come forward and stated that going into training camp, Tim Tebow will be the Broncos' starting quarterback. Okay, that's no surprise. Tebow is young and the fans love him, which makes him good for sales. But was the final paragraph really necessary?

Williams closed his "piece" (that can be taken in multiple manners) with this - "It’s the right move. Yes, he was up-and-down in 2011, but he’s young. He has started just 16 games in the NFL. His first-year totals compare favorably to those of Hall of Famers Elway and Steve Young."


Seriously? We're comparing Tim Tebow to John Elway and Steve Young, after only 16 starts? I will agree that we can't make an accurate prediction on Tebow's future based solely on the small sample-size. HOWEVER, must we resort to such ridiculous comparisons and statements?


Let's compare the three, shall we? 


Games Started: Tebow - 14, Elway - 231 (+217 or 13.56 seasons), Young - 143 (+129 or 8.06 seasons)


Wins: Tebow - 8, Elway - 148 (+140 or 8.75 seasons), Young - 94 (+86 or 5.38 seasons)


Completion Percentage: Tebow - 47.3, Elway - 56.9 (+9.6), Young - 64.3 (+17.0)


Passing Yards: Tebow - 2,383, Elway - 51,475 (+49,092), Young - 33,124 (+30,741)


Touchdown Passes: Tebow - 17, Elway - 300 (+283), Young - 232 (+215)


Quarterback Rating: Tebow - 75.1, Elway - 79.9 (+4.8), Young - 96.8 (+21.7)


Rushing Yards: Tebow - 887, Elway - 3,407 (+2,520), Young - 4,239 (+3,352)


Rushing Touchdowns: Tebow - 12, Elway - 33 (+21), Young - 43 (+31)


Super Bowl Rings: Tebow - 0, Elway - 2 (+2), Young - 1 (+1)


http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/E/ElwaJo00.htm


http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/Y/YounSt00.htm


http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/T/TeboTi00.htm


So, let's put this into its proper perspective. Tim Tebow would need to start 16 games for 8+ seasons to equal the number of games Steve Young started and over 13.5 seasons to equal John Elway's total in the category. Tebow would need to lead his team to undefeated 16-0 seasons for almost 5.5 years to equal the number of wins Steve Young led and almost 9 full seasons to equal John Elway's win total. He'd need to lead his team to an average of 10 wins a season for over 8.5 seasons to equal Young's total and exactly 14 seasons to equal Elway's. In terms of passing yards, Tim Tebow, who only has 2,383 such yards in 14 career starts, would need to throw for 3,000 yards for almost 13 seasons to equal Steve Young's total and he would need to do this for over 20.5 seasons to equal Elway's. Tebow has just 17 touchdown passes to his credit in 14 starts. He'd need to throw 20 touchdown passes in almost 11 seasons to equal Steve Young's total and over 14 season to match Elway's. Tebow is well behind the two in rushing statistics as well and has three fewer Super Bowl titles.


Williamson may be accurate in saying that statistically speaking, Tim Tebow is off to a similar start as John Elway and Steve Young, but it's also absurd to make that claim when it's insinuating that Tebow, given these similar starts to the before-mentioned Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks, will develop similar numbers to them. Tebow would need to have solid passing numbers for between 10 and 20 years to equal Elway and Young statistically and based on what I and many others have seen to this point, there's no way Tebow is going to accomplish this. Tebow will need to drastically alter his passing mechanics if he's going to even be a long-term starter in this league, let alone a successful one, and as history has showcased, that is a very difficult change to make

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