Like the game musical chairs? If so, you'll love the fight for the Republican nomination leading up to the 2012 presidential election.
I think it's become painfully obvious by this point in the primary - the Republican base does NOT want Mitt Romney as their nominee. The guy has held fairly steady in the polls, between 20 and 30% throughout this long, drawn-out process. The ultra-conservative Michele Bachmann felt the initial anti-Romney surge, reaching about 20% in polls before falling off, perhaps due to her lack of electability or being bat s**t crazy. Rick Perry was the next in line to feel this surge, until he spoke at a debate and his allure then faded. Pizza man Herman Cain felt the next surge in the polls until multiple women came forward about his alleged sexual advance unto them. Newt Gingrich was next in line before the Republican base realized just how much baggage he carries with him and his numbers have faded as well. Who's feeling the surge now? Ron Paul and Rick Santorum. Due to the recent revelation of former controversial newsletters Paul was a part of, I'm guessing his recent surge will soon be a thing of the past. That leaves Rick Santorum feeling the latest push by anti-Romney Republican voters. The guy has been in the single digits (oft times very low single digits) for most of the primary season. He's suddenly in contention for the Iowa Caucus, alongside Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. At this very point, the race is being called a toss-up between the three, with Santorum feeling the most momentum.
Okay, so who's left? Jon Huntsman? He may be even more moderate than Romney. So, what are Republicans going to do? Stick to the guy whom has held steady poll wise throughout the crazy primary season or continue to push for a more conservative candidate, hoping one of them will be able to garner long-term traction, of whom they haven't found yet. This has been a ridiculous process. I remember the Democratic Party in 2008 seemed pretty set on Hilary Clinton as their nominee at the outset. John Edwards was a steady 2nd and Barack Obama suddenly became the sleeper. Obama continued the momentum early in the primary and Edwards soon dropped out. For the majority of the crazy process, it was a two-person race. Republicans can't narrow it down to two people. Really, they have only one viable candidate, however they don't like him one bit, so they're doing everything in their power to find someone else.
In the meantime, Obama has to be laughing quite heartily. The crazier his process gets on the other side of the aisle, the better Obama's odds look at being re-elected. Bachmann? Perry? Cain? Gingrich? Paul? Santorum? If the Republican base can't make up their minds, chances are liberals and most moderates will make up their minds and stay away from the before-mentioned GOP candidates.
I think it's become painfully obvious by this point in the primary - the Republican base does NOT want Mitt Romney as their nominee. The guy has held fairly steady in the polls, between 20 and 30% throughout this long, drawn-out process. The ultra-conservative Michele Bachmann felt the initial anti-Romney surge, reaching about 20% in polls before falling off, perhaps due to her lack of electability or being bat s**t crazy. Rick Perry was the next in line to feel this surge, until he spoke at a debate and his allure then faded. Pizza man Herman Cain felt the next surge in the polls until multiple women came forward about his alleged sexual advance unto them. Newt Gingrich was next in line before the Republican base realized just how much baggage he carries with him and his numbers have faded as well. Who's feeling the surge now? Ron Paul and Rick Santorum. Due to the recent revelation of former controversial newsletters Paul was a part of, I'm guessing his recent surge will soon be a thing of the past. That leaves Rick Santorum feeling the latest push by anti-Romney Republican voters. The guy has been in the single digits (oft times very low single digits) for most of the primary season. He's suddenly in contention for the Iowa Caucus, alongside Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. At this very point, the race is being called a toss-up between the three, with Santorum feeling the most momentum.
Okay, so who's left? Jon Huntsman? He may be even more moderate than Romney. So, what are Republicans going to do? Stick to the guy whom has held steady poll wise throughout the crazy primary season or continue to push for a more conservative candidate, hoping one of them will be able to garner long-term traction, of whom they haven't found yet. This has been a ridiculous process. I remember the Democratic Party in 2008 seemed pretty set on Hilary Clinton as their nominee at the outset. John Edwards was a steady 2nd and Barack Obama suddenly became the sleeper. Obama continued the momentum early in the primary and Edwards soon dropped out. For the majority of the crazy process, it was a two-person race. Republicans can't narrow it down to two people. Really, they have only one viable candidate, however they don't like him one bit, so they're doing everything in their power to find someone else.
In the meantime, Obama has to be laughing quite heartily. The crazier his process gets on the other side of the aisle, the better Obama's odds look at being re-elected. Bachmann? Perry? Cain? Gingrich? Paul? Santorum? If the Republican base can't make up their minds, chances are liberals and most moderates will make up their minds and stay away from the before-mentioned GOP candidates.
Comments
Post a Comment