While Hillary Clinton currently leads all the national polls by between 5 and 10 points, that doesn't even begin to show how good of shape she's in when it comes to the electoral college. Donald Trump and his supporters can deny it all they'd like, they're in serious trouble. Let's look at the electoral map for a second. Here are very blue states in which Trump has less chance of winning than I do of beating Usain Bolt in the 100 m after drinking with Ryan Lochte (Keep in mind it takes 270 electoral votes to win the election):
1) Hawaii: 4 electoral votes
2) Washington: 12 electoral votes (16 total)
3) California: 55 electoral votes (71 total)
4) Illinois: 20 electoral votes (91 total)
5) Vermont: 3 electoral votes (94 total)
6) Massachusetts: 11 electoral votes (105 total)
7) Rhode Island: 4 electoral votes (109 total)
8) Connecticut: 7 electoral votes (116 total)
9) Delaware: 3 electoral votes (119 total)
10) Maryland: 10 electoral votes (129 total)
11) Washington, D.C.: 3 electoral votes (132 total)
12) New York: 29 electoral votes (161 total)
13) Oregon: 7 electoral votes (168 total)
Here are states that aren't guarantees for Democratic nominees, but they're pretty close:
14) New Mexico: 5 electoral votes (173 total)
15) Minnesota: 10 electoral votes (183 total)
16) Wisconsin: 10 electoral votes (193 total)
17) Michigan: 16 electoral votes (209 total)
18) Maine: 4 electoral votes (213 total)
19) New Hampshire: 4 electoral votes (217 total)
20) New Jersey: 14 electoral votes (231 total)
Here are states which are supposed to be of the "battleground" variety, but on which Trump has pretty much given up given the wide disparities between he and Clinton:
21) Colorado: 9 electoral votes (240 total)
22) Nevada: 6 electoral votes (246 total)
23) Pennsylvania: 20 electoral votes (266 total)
24) Virginia: 13 electoral votes (279 total)
So, unless something major happens to swing one of these states in Trump's direction before election day, Hillary Clinton is at a comfortable 279 electoral votes, 9 more than what is required to win the election. This isn't even taking into consideration the following states, which polls suggest she could also win:
25) Iowa: 6 electoral votes (285 total)
26) Ohio: 18 electoral votes (303 total)
27) Florida: 29 electoral votes (332 total)
28) North Carolina: 15 electoral votes (347 total)
29) Georgia: 16 electoral votes (363 total)
30) Arizona: 11 electoral votes (374 total)
Things are even close in these states:
31) Indiana: 11 electoral votes (385 total)
32) Utah: 6 electoral votes (391 total)
So, I'm sorry Trumpsters. You may solace in your candidate closing the gap in some national polls, but given our electoral college, The Donald is in serious trouble.
http://www.270towin.com/
1) Hawaii: 4 electoral votes
2) Washington: 12 electoral votes (16 total)
3) California: 55 electoral votes (71 total)
4) Illinois: 20 electoral votes (91 total)
5) Vermont: 3 electoral votes (94 total)
6) Massachusetts: 11 electoral votes (105 total)
7) Rhode Island: 4 electoral votes (109 total)
8) Connecticut: 7 electoral votes (116 total)
9) Delaware: 3 electoral votes (119 total)
10) Maryland: 10 electoral votes (129 total)
11) Washington, D.C.: 3 electoral votes (132 total)
12) New York: 29 electoral votes (161 total)
13) Oregon: 7 electoral votes (168 total)
Here are states that aren't guarantees for Democratic nominees, but they're pretty close:
14) New Mexico: 5 electoral votes (173 total)
15) Minnesota: 10 electoral votes (183 total)
16) Wisconsin: 10 electoral votes (193 total)
17) Michigan: 16 electoral votes (209 total)
18) Maine: 4 electoral votes (213 total)
19) New Hampshire: 4 electoral votes (217 total)
20) New Jersey: 14 electoral votes (231 total)
Here are states which are supposed to be of the "battleground" variety, but on which Trump has pretty much given up given the wide disparities between he and Clinton:
21) Colorado: 9 electoral votes (240 total)
22) Nevada: 6 electoral votes (246 total)
23) Pennsylvania: 20 electoral votes (266 total)
24) Virginia: 13 electoral votes (279 total)
So, unless something major happens to swing one of these states in Trump's direction before election day, Hillary Clinton is at a comfortable 279 electoral votes, 9 more than what is required to win the election. This isn't even taking into consideration the following states, which polls suggest she could also win:
25) Iowa: 6 electoral votes (285 total)
26) Ohio: 18 electoral votes (303 total)
27) Florida: 29 electoral votes (332 total)
28) North Carolina: 15 electoral votes (347 total)
29) Georgia: 16 electoral votes (363 total)
30) Arizona: 11 electoral votes (374 total)
Things are even close in these states:
31) Indiana: 11 electoral votes (385 total)
32) Utah: 6 electoral votes (391 total)
So, I'm sorry Trumpsters. You may solace in your candidate closing the gap in some national polls, but given our electoral college, The Donald is in serious trouble.
http://www.270towin.com/
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