I don't mean to brag, but I'm now 3 for 3 with my debate predictions. I felt that history would repeat itself in the first debate with the challenger getting the best of the incumbent president and while I personally felt it was a draw (Romney won on style and Obama on substance), style tends to win over substance, so I acknowledged that the majority of the voting population would think Romney got the best of President Obama. I also thought the fact Obama was a heavy favorite in the first debate would aid Romney some as well.
The CBS snap poll showed 46% of undecided voters felt Romney won the debate, while 22% thought similarly for President Obama.
In the Vice Presidential debate, with Ryan as the favorite and likely being asked to be fairly conservative due to the momentum the GOP ticket garnered following the first debate, I gave the edge to Vice President Biden.
That same CBS snap poll of undecided voters showed that 50% felt Joe Biden won the debate and 31% thought Paul Ryan got the better of the Vice President.
Just a couple days ago, I wrote the following in a blog - "In snap polls, however, I believe that Obama will wind up being declared the winner - not by too significant a margin, but by 3-9%."
In that same CBS snap poll of undecideds, guess what? President Obama wound up with 37% of the vote and Governor Romney attained 30%, which equates to Obama at +7%.
Some people go to Vegas to bet on sports, play craps or blackjack. I should go to bet on presidential debates.
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2012/10/17/instant-polls-obama-wins-second-debate/
The CBS snap poll showed 46% of undecided voters felt Romney won the debate, while 22% thought similarly for President Obama.
In the Vice Presidential debate, with Ryan as the favorite and likely being asked to be fairly conservative due to the momentum the GOP ticket garnered following the first debate, I gave the edge to Vice President Biden.
That same CBS snap poll of undecided voters showed that 50% felt Joe Biden won the debate and 31% thought Paul Ryan got the better of the Vice President.
Just a couple days ago, I wrote the following in a blog - "In snap polls, however, I believe that Obama will wind up being declared the winner - not by too significant a margin, but by 3-9%."
In that same CBS snap poll of undecideds, guess what? President Obama wound up with 37% of the vote and Governor Romney attained 30%, which equates to Obama at +7%.
Some people go to Vegas to bet on sports, play craps or blackjack. I should go to bet on presidential debates.
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2012/10/17/instant-polls-obama-wins-second-debate/
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