How bad are things for Donald Trump? I've honestly never seen such awful numbers for a president in this country.
Forewarning: This is going to be a lengthy thread, with lots of numbers, so Trumpelthinskin, if you're listening, you may want to look elsewhere.
First off, as far as Drumpf's net-approval ratings go, he's above water in just 4 states: Wyoming, Idaho, West Virginia, and North Dakota, and in North Dakota, he's only at a +1.
Here is the full list of state-by-state net-approval ratings for lil Donnie. As a reminder, net-approval is the difference between one's approval and disapproval. For example, if a person's approval is 44%, and their disapproval is 56%, their net-approval would be -12% (44-56). In other words, Trumpty Dumpty is above +/-0% in just 4 states.
Washington, D.C.: -82%
Vermont: -47%
Maryland: -45%
Hawaii: -44%
Illinois: -40%
Washington: -40%
Rhode Island: -39%
Connecticut: -38%
Massachusetts: -37%
Oregon: -36%
California: -33%
New Mexico: -33%
Colorado: -32%
Delaware: -32%
New York: -32%
Minnesota: -29%
Maine: -28%
New Jersey: -28%
Georgia: -27%
New Hampshire: -25%
Wisconsin: -25%
Texas: -24%
Virginia: -24%
Nevada: -23%
Pennsylvania: -23%
Ohio: -22%
Arizona: -21%
Michigan: -21%
South Carolina: -21%
Iowa: -20%
North Carolina: -20%
Indiana: -19%
Alaska: -15%
Kansas: -15%
Mississippi: -14%
Missouri: -14%
Florida: -13%
Louisiana: -12%
Nebraska: 12%
Kentucky: -10%
South Dakota: -9%
Alabama: -6%
Arkansas: -6%
Utah: -6%
Montana: -3%
Oklahoma: -3%
Tennessee: -3%
North Dakota: +1%
West Virginia: +11%
Idaho: +15%
Wyoming: +18%
If an election were held today, using only 2024 voters, the results would be as follows.
Safe Democrat (up 11%+)
California: 54 EVs (Electoral Votes)
Colorado: 10 EVs
Connecticut: 7 EVs
Delaware: 3 EVs
Georgia: 16 EVs
Hawaii: 4 EVs
Illinois: 19 EVs
Maine: 4 EVs
Maryland: 10 EVs
Massachusetts: 11 EVs
Michigan: 15 EVs
Minnesota: 10 EVs
Nevada: 6 EVs
New Hampshire: 4 EVs
New Jersey: 14 EVs
New Mexico: 5 EVs
New York: 28 EVs
North Carolina: 16 EVs
Oregon: 8 EVs
Pennsylvania: 19 EVs
Rhode Island: 4 EVs
Vermont: 3 EVs
Virginia: 13 EVs
Washington: 12 EVs
Washington, D.C.: 3 EVs
Wisconsin: 10 EVs
Total: 26 states worth 308 EVs
Safe Trump (up 11%+)
Arkansas: 6 EVs
Idaho: 4 EVs
North Dakota: 3 EVs
Oklahoma: 7 EVs
West Virginia: 4 EVs
Wyoming: 3 EVs
Total: 6 states worth 27 EVs
Scoreboard
Democrat: 26 states worth 308 EVs
Trump: 6 states worth 27 EVs
Likely Democrat (up between 6 and 10%)
Arizona: 11 EVs
Iowa: 6 EVs
Ohio: 17 EVs
South Carolina: 9 EVs
Texas: 40 EVs
Total: 5 states worth 83 EVs
Likely Trump (up between 6 and 10%)
Alabama: 9 EVs
South Dakota: 3 EVs
Tennessee: 11 EVs
Total: 3 states worth 23 EVs
Scoreboard
Democrat: 31 states worth 391 EVs
Trump: 9 states worth 50 EVs
Lean Democrat (up between 0.1 and 5.9%)
Alaska: 3 EVs
Indiana: 11 EVs
Florida: 30 EVs
Kansas: 6 EVs
Louisiana: 8 EVs
Mississippi: 6 EVs
Missouri: 10 EVs
Total: 7 states worth 74 EVs
Lean Trump (up between 0.1 and 5.9%)
Kentucky: 8 EVs
Montana: 4 EVs
Nebraska: 5 EVs
Utah: 6 EVs
Total: 4 states worth 23 EVs
Scoreboard
Democrat: 38 states worth 465 EVs
Trump: 13 states worth 73 EVs
Lastly, here's how much the Orange Menace's approval has dropped in every state since election day.
South Carolina: -39%
Indiana: -38%
South Dakota: -38%
Texas: -38%
Alabama: -37%
Arkansas: -37%
Mississippi: -37%
Oklahoma: -37%
North Dakota: -35%
Louisiana: -34%
Iowa: -33%
Ohio: -33%
Tennessee: -33%
Missouri: -32%
Nebraska: -32%
Kansas: -31%
Kentucky: -31%
West Virginia: -31%
Georgia: -29%
Illinois: -29%
Alaska: -28%
Wyoming: -28%
New Mexico: -27%
Utah: -27%
Arizona: -26%
Florida: -26%
Nevada: -26%
Wisconsin: -26%
Minnesota: -25%
Pennsylvania: -25%
Rhode Island: -25%
Connecticut: -23%
Montana: -23%
North Carolina: -23%
Idaho: -22%
Michigan: -22%
New Hampshire: -22%
New Jersey: -22%
Oregon: -22%
Washington: -22%
Colorado: -21%
Hawaii: -21%
Maine: -21%
New York: -19%
Virginia: -18%
Delaware: -17%
Maryland: -16%
Vermont: -15%
California: -13%
Massachusetts: -12%
Washington, D.C.: +2%
Average change: -26.4%
https://www.economist.com/interactive/trump-approval-tracker
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