The Kind-Hearted Smart Aleck

We're just a week away from the 2016 presidential election. While I know a lot can happen in a week, here now are my state-by-state predictions at this current juncture: Hillary Clinton (D) Definites 1) Washington: 12 electoral votes, 12 total 2) Oregon: 7 electoral votes, 19 total 3) California: 55 electoral votes, 74 total 4) Hawaii: 4 electoral votes, 78 total 5) Illinois: 20 electoral votes, 98 total 6) Vermont: 3 electoral votes, 101 total 7) Massachusetts: 11 electoral votes, 112 total 8) Connecticut: 7 electoral votes, 119 total 9) Rhode Island: 4 electoral votes, 123 total 10) New Jersey: 14 electoral votes, 137 total 11) New York: 29 electoral votes, 166 total 12) Delaware: 3 electoral votes, 169 total 13) Maryland: 10 electoral votes, 179 total 14) Washington, D.C.: 3 electoral votes, 182 total Probables 1) New Mexico: 5 electoral votes, 5 total 2) Colorado: 9 electoral votes, 14 total 3) Minnesota: 10 electoral votes, 24 total 4) Wisconsin: 10 elec...

While Hillary Clinton currently leads all the national polls by between 5 and 10 points, that doesn't even begin to show how good of shape she's in when it comes to the electoral college. Donald Trump and his supporters can deny it all they'd like, they're in serious trouble. Let's look at the electoral map for a second. Here are very blue states in which Trump has less chance of winning than I do of beating Usain Bolt in the 100 m after drinking with Ryan Lochte (Keep in mind it takes 270 electoral votes to win the election): 1) Hawaii: 4 electoral votes 2) Washington: 12 electoral votes (16 total) 3) California: 55 electoral votes (71 total) 4) Illinois: 20 electoral votes (91 total) 5) Vermont: 3 electoral votes (94 total) 6) Massachusetts: 11 electoral votes (105 total) 7) Rhode Island: 4 electoral votes (109 total) 8) Connecticut: 7 electoral votes (116 total) 9) Delaware: 3 electoral votes (119 total) 10) Maryland: 10 electoral votes (129 total) 11...

As I promised a few days ago, whenever I see a shift in some state poll data which could potentially alter the state of the race, even if to the slightest degree, I'll update my electoral college projections. So here I am to do just that. As there's just a little over a week left until the election, I'm guessing I'll have 2-3 more updates, with the final one being the morning of election day. As stated in my last such update, I will order the states for each candidate from the state they're most likely to win to the state which is most likely to wind up being a toss-up. Solid Obama - all of these states (and D.C.) should go Obama's direction by at the very least, the upper single digits and in many cases, well over 10 points. I don't see any way that Romney wins any of these 17 states (including D.C.). 1. Washington, D.C.: 3 electoral votes (3 overall) 2. Hawaii: 4 (7) 3. Vermont: 3 (10) 4. New York: 29 (39) 5. Illinois: 20 (59) 6. Maryland: 10 (69)...

With President Obama receiving a rather large post-convention bounce at the polls and the Romney/Ryan team talking themselves in so many circles that it's been reported that the two sober men failed a sobriety test, the November election is looking more and more like an uphill fight for the Republican ticket. In recent days, it's been reported that the Romney team has pulled its ads from the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Paul Ryan's home state of Wisconsin. They'll instead focus their attention on the following states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Virginia. There are mixed reports on what the team plans on doing about Ohio. It appears as if, while they're still running ads in the Buckeye state, they've pulled them from a very large portion of the state. In other words, it appears as if the Romney team is conceding Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and may not be far removed from conceding Ohio as well. This spells ...